Hey Everyone, the bar is 8 days away! Brad Denny has put together a good article on why his favorite team, the Pittsburgh Steelers will win their division. In the comments go ahead and tell him why he is sooooo wrong, and then explain why your favorite team will win their own division.
Here are Brad's arguments...
Ben Roethlisberger – It was a tale of three seasons for Ben Roethlisberger. The first began with his horrific motorcycle accident, climaxed with his emergency appendectomy shortly before the season opener, and ended with a Week 5 loss to San Diego. In that first stretch of 3 games, he was picked off 7 times without throwing a TD. However, after that, he clearly found his groove again and played like the Ben of 2005, lighting up the Chiefs and Falcons before a Falcons cheap shot (a blow admitted as such by the NFL) gave him a concussion and knocked him out of in the 3rd Quarter. His number in a game and a half,,,5 TD, 0 INT. He struggled for 2 more games, throwing 1-7, before again getting comfortable for begin the “third season”. He was brilliant in a 3 TD/0 INT win over the Saints, and led the Steelers to a 6-2 mark in the second half of the season, as he was finally able to be free on injury. Now with a full off-season and perfect health, new OC Bruce Arians (the quarterback coach of, yes…Peyton Manning for 3 years) is giving Ben much more control of the offense, and planning to use 3 and 4 WR formations to exploit the excellent weapons at their disposal. Ben may not throw for 3,513 yards again, but his QB rating will be much more in line with the 98s of his first two seasons. Oh, and the W-L record will be more like those years as well. It’s amazing how after 1 injury riddled, yet ultimately promising year, some superficial fans are ready to right off a QB who in his first two years went 27-4, and won a Super Bowl. Well, people in the league know how good he is, and soon enough, all of the cretins will get a refresher course.
Santonio Holmes – The Steelers rarely trade up in the first round of the draft, but when they do, the best drafting team (a fact) in the NFL never misses (Troy Polamalu anyone?). They did so again last year for Ohio State wideout Santonio Holmes. Despite being the top rated receiver in the 2006 draft, some questioned this move, as WR was not a huge need for the Steelers. Holmes had a shaky first half, as did the Steelers, posting only 16 catches. However, Holmes emerged as one of the most explosive receivers in the NFL down the stretch, and he finished with 49 grabs for 824 yards. His 16.8 yards per catch was 2nd in the NFL among players with as many catches. Blessed with a solid frame and lightning speed to get the deep ball, he also is adept at turning a short route into a long gain, as his 10.5 yards per short pass attempt led all NFL WRs by a staggering 2.5 yards. With new offensive coordinator Bruce Arians planning on running more 3 and 4 wide sets, look for Holmes to breakout in a big way.
Dick LeBeau – Despite the coaching change, the Steelers were able to retain Dick LeBeau, one of the top defensive minds of the NFL, master of the 3-4, and inventor of the zone blitz. The defense is still among the NFL’s elite, having ranked in the top 3 in rush defense each of the last three seasons (1st, 3rd, 3rd), and the core of this unit returns. All Pro tackle Casey Hampton anchors the line, and despite the loss of Joey Porter, whose bark was much more than his bite in recent years (only 1 season of 9+ sacks since 2002), the Steelers have great quality, with rookies Lawrence Timmons (16th overall pick) and LaMarr Woodley (Big 10 Defensive Player of the Year) to compliment veterans James Harrison and Clark Haggans. The key to the defense will be the secondary. Obviously, Polamalu is the best and most versatile safety in the league, and second year safety Anthony Smith is drawing rave reviews as his partner. The CB play, especially that of Ike Taylor, regressed from 2005, and is the top concern. However, with Tomlin’s expertise and Cover 2 schemes, along with the continued development of Bryant McFadden, the early reports around the league are very promising for this young secondary. One thing is for sure, teams won’t be able to run of the Steelers, which is a damn good start.
Dan Rooney – There is no better owner than Dan Rooney. Period. End of debate. Owner of five titles, the best winning percentage of any team since 1992, and the most respected owner in the NFL, Mr. Rooney knows what it takes to run a successful and respected franchise. His right hand man, Director of Football Operations Kevin Colbert is among the best in the business. Year after year, the Steelers reload through the draft after losing key verterans, yet they still win. After a horrific 2-6 start, the Men of Steel rebounded to go 6-2 for a .500 finish, and very nearly made the playoffs. After Coach Cowher retired, everyone (myself included) thought either Ken Whisenhunt or Russ Grimm would get the job, yet the team surprised everyone by hiring Minnesota Defensive Coordinator Mike Tomlin. The Rooneys have a proven track record of hiring coaches, having only 3 (Tomlin included) since 1969, resulting in 5 rings. The last time they hired an energetic, no-name DC in his 30s, it turned out pretty well, wouldn’t ya say?
Steve McNair – The primary threat in the division is reigning champion Baltimore, led by the 34 year old McNair. While he started fast, his play tailed off immensely late in the year, only having one game among the final 4 with a passer rating over 70, and couldn’t led the offense to a touchdown in their home playoff loss to Indy. He also showed the typical McNair nagging injuries, and with Kyle Boller as his backup, the Ravens offense is one hit away from hitting a wall. His age and injuries will catch up to him, and his play will fall well short of magic of last year, leaving the door wide open for Pittsburgh.
Bonus Reason
The Cincinnati PD – Thanks to the boys in blue for tirelessly cleaning up the streets of the scum and villainy that is the roster of the Bengals. At the current rate, most of the starters of this young and immature team will be locked up by midseason.
14 comments:
Damn, I'm smart.
I have a theory that being smart can often be inversely correlated to athletic performance.
I believe that you can be too smart to be a great athlete, especially at positions that involve a higher number of variables, such as quarterback.
That doesn't mean that the dumber you are, the better. Rather there's an ideal range. You gotta be smart enough to be able to study and memorize plays, but dumb enough to shut down most of your conscious brain and let the muscle memory, reactionary memory, and right side of the brain take over. That's not easy to do when you have an overactive left side of the brain like we readers of Dave's blog have.
This leads to an interesting and entertaining dilemma. The “ideal” quarterback could very well be somewhat of a dunce (and probably a psychopath-more on that later). That means that he'll be good on the pitch under the right conditions, but hard to keep out of trouble (fame, money, sex, violence, not wearing a helmet, and other assorted stupid mistakes).
Roethlisberger makes a good example: quite the dunce, yet physically ideal for QB. His rookie year he had the right team, plan, and situation around him, and the perfect empty head to keep him from being distracted with the stresses and pressures of everyday life in the USHF league. No longer. Yea, he's still dumb, but the variables around him have changed. A near death experience will make anyone think. Combine that with failure, higher expectations, and a new coach and you've got problems.
Along the ideal range, I think Benny's on the lower end of intelligence, which means that in order for him to be effective, the coaching staff needs to keep his focus on football and keep things nice, simple, and familiar especially off the field.
I've already seen many examples of how he's being distracted by issues outside of the game and that's bad news for him and bad news for the Steelers.
I doubt that he'll ever be as effective as he was his rookie year.
So many holes in "Bebo's" post, I think he/she must have scored a Vince Young-ish score on the Wonderlic...
- First off, calling this Dave's blog is a stretch. He writes a two sentence intro for stuff other people write
- Secondly, on what grounds is Ben a "dunce"? His well above average Wonderlic scores? His 3.0+ GPA in college? His intelligent and well spoken interviews (Fathead commercial excluded). The only dumb thing he did was ride with no helmet, and the simpletons of the world can’t get past that bloody tale to look at the facts of the situation.
- You can't win a Super Bowl and not be smart. The only SB winning I can tell in the last 25 years was Jim McMahon in 1985. EVERYONE else was an intelligent passer. You don’t see legitimate dumb QBs who rely on “muscle memory, reactionary memory, and right side of the brain take over”, such as Vick, Culpepper, Brooks, (and I’ll say it now…VY won’t win a SB) winning Super Bowls, or even having a great deal of consistent playoff success. Ben’s won a SB, the youngest to ever do it, and he tore up the Bengals, Colts, and Broncos like a surgeon, and took command of the offense in that run. I’ll send you a copy of the games on DVD if you’d like your mounds of crow served sooner.
- Never be as good as he was in his rookie year? He was better his second year, and for the last 8 games of this past season. Of course he wasn’t given command of the offense early on, NO QB is. Not one. Ever. However, they gradually gave him more each week, and he went from caretaker to gamewinner (see the wins in Dallas and Jacksonville his rookie year), posted a record 98.1 passer rating, and went 14-1. His 2nd year, when a lot of rookies are still learning the playbook, he betters his rating to a sterling 98.6, takes command of the offense, and wins the fucking Super Bowl. I’ll give you that his dumb decision set him back for the first half of 2006, but the last 8 games he was great and went 6-2.
- Distracted? Who isn’t? He was distracted after his first 3 wins as a rookie with all the attention, the city worshipping him, sandwiches being named after him and such…and he did pretty well. Next year, tons of pressure and distractions…and wins the Super Bowl.
In summation, your arguments have little, if any, merit. His tough first half of the season was caused by one bad decision and the lingering physical effects of that decision. There is a reason he was held in such high regard coming out of college, and his first three years in the NFL. You are right in saying he has the prototypical tools, 6’5” 240, cannon arm, above average mobility, but it was his maturity and smarts that combined with that to give him the incredible success he has had so far in only three years.
The Steelers will win their division when hell freezes over. Or when the Cardinals make the playoffs.
Yet another in a long line of stellar Centojack contributions.
1. The "I" in "NFL Things You Should Know, That I Already Know" is definitely not Dave; it's about four of us.
2. I never realized how androgynous "Bebo" is. Thanks for pointing that out Brad. Oh, and don't be fooled if he starts posting links to ridiculously heterosexual websites. It's called denial.
3. I agree and disagree with both Brad and Bebo regarding Big Ben. I have watched him play in games and thought, "Man, I never knew this guy was that good!" But there have been a number of games where he looked terrible.
4. "Cannon arm" and "above average mobility" are two attributes I've not heard used in the same sentence as Ben Roethlisberger. Maybe I'd say above average mobility for someone who's 6'5". Maybe a cannon arm compared to, say, Rex "This is my year, seriously" Grossman.
5. Since when did a 3.0 GPA qualify anyone as smart? Especially an athlete...at Miami? Not to sound like some high-minded, liberal elitist prick, but I hardly lifted a finger in undergrad and graduated magna cum laude. Hell, if I'd been on the football team I probably could have made that summa cum laude. At Miami...I'm not even going there.
6. Troy Polamalu is an animal. If I had to build a franchise around Troy or Big Ben, I'd have to take a weekend to think about it. Troy as more raw talent in his hair than...what's his name...oh yeah, Rex "The Real Dunce" Grossman.
He /she? What the hell? Dude, my name is Ricardo and I am all man. If you were unsure due to the nickname, let me point out the fact that the "o" in Bebo identifies me as male (as it does in "Masculino", "Mexicano", and "Testarudo").
Back to the discussion:
I'm not insulting the guy. Let's call Ben's mental makeup, "The Ability to Turn Off the Left Side of the Brain" or "TATTO" for short. Once TATTO takes over, it doesn't mean that he's not thinking. He's just not thinking with the left part of his brain. He's "reading" the field like one "reads" traffic. It's not calculus, it's practice, memory, and reaction. This is what allows a truck driver with an IQ of 90 to be a helluva better at negotiating traffic than a 16 year old genius.
Actually, there's theories out there that consider TATTO a different type of intelligence (Bodily/Kinesthetic) altogether.
Anyway, what I'm saying is that having IQ smarts is often inversely correlated to having TATTO, as are distractions off the field and being too emotional (see old Brett Favre, old Dan Marino, Mike Vick, etc). There are exceptions to this of course, but they are exceptions.
I think that most of Benny's success happened because of his early TATTO, his coaches' ability to create easy plays for him, and a big wallop of luck.
The luck can't hold, the new coaches will likely ask more of him, and his TATTO seems to be diminishing.
Sorry.
P.S. I don't think it's that outrageous to predict the Steelers will win their division. They have an easy schedule to begin the season. Baltimore has had a terrible offense, but they're still strong defensively. Cincy PD, as you mentioned, is putting the screws to the Bengals' chances. Considering that the Steelers grossly underachieved last year, they should automatically win a few more games. If they can pull out a good game or two against the Ravens, they should win the division.
I think the NFC East and West are really the only interesting divisions. Sure, there are arguments to be made elsewhere, but those two are pretty much it.
My picks: Arizona and Dallas. I'll save the stats and reasoning for later, but that's it.
Seriously guys.. I am NOT gonna get sucked into anymore debates about Bears QBs! Denny, how DARE you dig on McMahon! Perhaps he wasn't a literary genius, but he was hands-down the coolest MFer to ever play the position. And noone looks cooler in a leopard-print speedo while driving their lawnmower! As for Rex, Corey.... whhyy yoouu! Do you know that Fridge Bear is crying somewhere right now? No.. not because of pollution. Because you doubt the dream vision. Don't doubt the dream vision, Corey. Believe. BELIEVE!!
Oh, and Brad?.. Please get your head out of Ben's lap. Seriously.
First, Bebo, no disrespect on the he/she. I didn't know you were Ricardo. Being in Phoenix, there have been many an instance of the "a" and "o" thing being on different genders than they should be.
I'm not saying that a 3.0 GPA is a Rhodes scholar, but rather responding to the repeated claim that Ben is a "dunce".
It's funny, because if he had not gotten hurt, and the Steelers went 11-5 or 12-4 like they probably could/should have if they had Ben at full strength for the year, this whole thing wouldn't even be a topic. I'm not worried about the season at all. They still have 19 of 22 starters from a young Super Bowl champion team, and have added more great players in the last two drafts. If SI or ESPN or whoever ignores the Steelers, there may be a seat on the bandwagon for them later.
VICK INDICTED!
Hooray! Justice has been served! Time to kick the thuggish to jail!
As I predicted long ago on this blog, Vick will be suspended this season. Goodell can't ignore a Federal indictment. Starting at quarterback for your Falcons (they sure as hell are not mine)...Joey Heisman. HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA
How about a little unity? I believe almost everyone on this blog chastised Vick since the beginning and called for severe punishment. I say kudos...er...I was trying to think of a name for readers/writers of this blog but it's hard to turn "NFL Things You Should Know, That I Already Know" into a pronoun.
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