So I was looking at the Expert's picks for Week 11 and I was disappointed because no one picked Buffalo for an upset. I think this is a prime week for New England to lose!

Sure the Bills are ranked 26th against the pass, and 24th in points per game and New England is in the top 5 in almost every statistical category on both sides of the ball... but here are ten reasons of what I think the Bills have going for them.

1) On Any Given Sunday ANY team in the NFL can beat another team. The 2007 Patriots are not immune to this.
2) The pressure on the Patriots to have a perfect season is starting to rise.
3) No team has gone undefeated in over thirty years. Its not a matter of if the Patriots will lose, it is a matter of when the patriots will lose. There is no way they go undefeated with facing every team's best punch down the home stretch.
4) The Bills were a last minute 53 yard field goal from beating the Dallas Cowboys when no one thought they could.
5) They got hammered by New England 38-7 earlier this season and will want some revenge.
6) It's a Bills home game. The Bills like most teams play much better at home. They are 3-2 at home, but both losses were by 1 point! Also it is cold as fuck in Buffalo. Not that New England is not also use to playing in the cold, but 40 degree weather is not the best passing conditions.
7) The Bill's are underrated. They have won Four straight and Five out of their last six, with their only loss being that last second win by Dallas. The Bills other three losses are the Pats, Steelers, and Broncos. Three out of their four losses are to teams that are locks to make the playoffs.
8) The Patriots are coming off their huge win at Indy followed by their bye week. If there was a moment where their focus might wander slightly, it could be this week as they overlook an opponent they have already dominated this season.
9) Beating the Patriots would validate the Bills entire season. I think the Bills still have an outside shot at the playoffs, but this game would be their biggest win in over a decade. They would go down in history as the team that stopped the Patriots' perfect season. You know the Bills will lay everything out on the field, holding nothing back. Hopefully it is enough.
10) Karma. The Patriots have bad karma. It is bad karma to run up the score on other teams, leaving Brady in late in the fourth quarter, bringing Brady back in the game to pass for more touchdowns with 3 touchdown leads, going for it on 4th and 1 when you are winning handedly... this upsets the football gods and results in bad karma.


The only thing I do not like about the Bills this week is that their star player Marshawn Lynch will not play. Tough to pick a team against the Pats without their best player. Who knows though, maybe this will help the Bills. The Pats are even more likely to overlook them, and they know, absolutely NO ONE expects them to win.... except me of course!